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Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Pegula vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Pegula 2 - 4 Sabalenka
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pegula has won 47.02% of points on their second serve, while Sabalenka has won 49.7%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pegula, in recent form, has won 57.78% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 55.77%. The same stats for first serve returns are 39.55% and 37.37% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Pegula has saved 57.49% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 61.31% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Pegula has won 74.58% of matches played (W/L 44/ 15), with Sabalenka winning 76.12% (W/L 51/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Pegula has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 233/ 121), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 56% (W/L 23/ 18). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 81/ 46).
- Player level: In the last year, Pegula has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Pegula winning 2 times and Sabalenka being victorious 4 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Pegula winning 4 and Sabalenka winning 9. The last match between Pegula and Sabalenka was at the WTA Finals - Cancun, 31-10-2023, Robin, Hard with Jessica Pegula getting the victory 6-4 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:22:53.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Pegula and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Pegula winning 1 times and Sabalenka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Pegula winning 0, and Sabalenka 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pegula has played against opponents with an average rank of 84.32 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 74.4.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pegula has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 52% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Pegula has converted 45.41% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 47.04% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
5
Rank
3
High
30
Age
R
Plays
2
Total4
2
Hard1
0
Clay3
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
2
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
Form
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
63% (408-235)
Career Total W/L
68% (395-182)
70% (14-6)
YTD W/L
79% (27-7)
$8,331,386
Career Prize Money
$19,932,224
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 9 |
| Games Won | 46 | 67 |
| Aces (Total) | 13 | 29 |
| DFs (Total) | 21 | 34 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:22:53 | 1:22:53 |
| 1st Serve % | 59% (225/381) | 58% (219/376) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 56% (127/225) | 65% (143/219) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 44% (68/156) | 49% (77/157) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 40% (17/43) | 50% (28/56) |
| Return Points W% | 41% (156/376) | 49% (186/381) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (2/6) | 67% (4/6) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 0% (4/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (4/0) | 0% (2/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 6-3 |
Stats 
Jessica Pegula
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
39 of
59)
1st Serve %
62%
(
38 of
61)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
67%
(
26 of
39)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
60%
(
12 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
11 of
23)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
21 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
30 of
61)
68
Total Points Won
52
|
||||
| 6-3 7-5 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
58%
(
35 of
60)
1st Serve %
52%
(
41 of
79)
5
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
5
80%
(
28 of
35)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
21 of
41)
44%
(
11 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
17 of
38)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
35%
(
21 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
41 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
59
|
||||
| 6-1 6-4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
57%
(
32 of
56)
1st Serve %
60%
(
28 of
47)
9
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
6
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
13 of
28)
42%
(
10 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
41%
(
23 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
60%
(
28 of
47)
61
Total Points Won
42
|
||||
| 6-1 6-2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
61%
(
28 of
46)
1st Serve %
61%
(
25 of
41)
8
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
1
86%
(
24 of
28)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
14 of
25)
50%
(
9 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
13 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
22 of
41)
55
Total Points Won
32
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
56%
(
33 of
59)
1st Serve %
55%
(
31 of
56)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
55%
(
18 of
33)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
11 of
25)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
41%
(
24 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
31 of
56)
66
Total Points Won
49
|
||||
| 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62%
(
61 of
99)
1st Serve %
56%
(
53 of
94)
5
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
8
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
30 of
53)
45%
(
17 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
31%
(
4 of
13)
43%
(
43 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
45 of
94)
101
Total Points Won
92
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 70% (14/6) | 79% (27/7) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 64% (32/18) | 73% (58/22) |
| Games Win/Loss | 55% (263/216) | 59% (432/305) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 69% (11/5) | 78% (14/4) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 75% (3/1) | 81% (13/3) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| Aces Total | 52 | 155 |
| DFs per game | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| DFs Total | 40 | 101 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:46:18 | 1:41:11 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 81.85 | 92 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% (930/1551) | 64% (1495/2338) |
| 1st Serve W% | 67% (624/930) | 71% (1063/1495) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 47% (292/621) | 50% (419/843) |
| BPs Won% Total | 45% (94/207) | 47% (135/287) |
| Return Pts W% | 46% (750/1618) | 45% (1068/2397) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (1/1) | 100% (9/0) |
| Masters W/L | 60% (3/2) | 72% (13/5) |
| Cups W/L | 100% (2/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 73% (8/3) | 71% (5/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 70% (14/20) | 79% (26/33) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 57% (4/7) | 67% (6/9) |
| Deciding Set W% | 60% (6/10) | 58% (7/12) |
| 1st set W, W | 83% (12/10) | 88% (24/21) |
| 1st set W, L | 17% (12/2) | 8% (24/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (8/4) | 50% (10/5) |
Jessica Pegula Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubber 3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Hanne Vandewinkel
61%
(
20 of
33)
1st Serve %
63%
(
29 of
46)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
95%
(
19 of
20)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
77%
(
10 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
5 of
17)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
12%
(
4 of
33)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
26 of
46)
55
Total Points Won
24
|
6-2 6-0 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 1 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Sofia Costoulas
40%
(
35 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
66 of
113)
0
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
9
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
35 of
66)
47%
(
25 of
53)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
20 of
47)
35%
(
7 of
20)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
43%
(
38 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
58 of
113)
108
Total Points Won
93
|
4-6 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71%
(
73 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52%
(
38 of
73)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
19 of
50)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
73%
(
8 of
11)
50%
(
52 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
125)
112
Total Points Won
116
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Victoria Azarenka
73%
(
70 of
96)
1st Serve %
62%
(
72 of
117)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
12
63%
(
44 of
70)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
45 of
72)
42%
(
11 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
20 of
45)
25%
(
5 of
20)
Break Points Won
42%
(
5 of
12)
43%
(
41 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
52 of
117)
107
Total Points Won
106
|
6-4 3-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Magda Linette
55%
(
22 of
40)
1st Serve %
68%
(
30 of
44)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
82%
(
18 of
22)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
18 of
30)
78%
(
14 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
4 of
14)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
20%
(
8 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
54
Total Points Won
30
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Amanda Anisimova
58%
(
55 of
95)
1st Serve %
63%
(
80 of
126)
7
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
6
71%
(
39 of
55)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
46 of
80)
48%
(
19 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
27%
(
4 of
15)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
58 of
126)
116
Total Points Won
105
|
3-6 6-4 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Player
Jessica Pegula
60%
(
56 of
94)
1st Serve %
67%
(
53 of
79)
3
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
3
79%
(
44 of
56)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
35 of
53)
34%
(
13 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
39%
(
37 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
28 of
79)
85
Total Points Won
88
|
3-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Emma Navarro
64%
(
50 of
78)
1st Serve %
67%
(
40 of
60)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
13 of
20)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
36%
(
28 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
24 of
60)
74
Total Points Won
64
|
7-6(1) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Leylah Annie Fernandez
70%
(
44 of
63)
1st Serve %
73%
(
58 of
80)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
70%
(
31 of
44)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
34 of
58)
42%
(
8 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
8 of
22)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
38%
(
24 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
38 of
80)
77
Total Points Won
66
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Lin Zhu
60%
(
25 of
42)
1st Serve %
58%
(
33 of
57)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
76%
(
19 of
25)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
26%
(
11 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
59
Total Points Won
40
|
6-4 4-1 ret. | H2H | ||
view more
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Moyuka Uchijima
62%
(
29 of
47)
1st Serve %
74%
(
39 of
53)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
76%
(
22 of
29)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
26%
(
12 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
27 of
53)
62
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Erika Andreeva
64%
(
32 of
50)
1st Serve %
59%
(
23 of
39)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
72%
(
23 of
32)
1st Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
34%
(
17 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
56
Total Points Won
33
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
31 of
57)
1st Serve %
59%
(
32 of
54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
23 of
31)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
18 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
27 of
54)
66
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60%
(
35 of
58)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
19 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
28 of
62)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
72%
(
85 of
118)
1st Serve %
52%
(
44 of
85)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
58%
(
49 of
85)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
15 of
41)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
45%
(
53 of
118)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
41 of
85)
106
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 6-1 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Dayana Yastremska
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve %
60%
(
42 of
70)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
76%
(
25 of
33)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
76%
(
13 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
24%
(
12 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
30 of
70)
68
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Katie Volynets
69%
(
68 of
98)
1st Serve %
78%
(
73 of
94)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
63%
(
43 of
68)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
37 of
73)
40%
(
12 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
54%
(
7 of
13)
Break Points Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
44%
(
43 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
48 of
94)
103
Total Points Won
89
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
68 of
118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
39%
(
46 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
48 of
118)
121
Total Points Won
116
|
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elena Rybakina
64%
(
56 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
4
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
77%
(
43 of
56)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
46 of
65)
50%
(
16 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
59%
(
24 of
41)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
36 of
106)
95
Total Points Won
99
|
1-6 7-5 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
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Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aryna Sabalenka
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